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  1. Slot allocation at airports worldwide is often a complex process, but the divvying up of Avianca Brazil’s slots in the wake of the airline’s demise has been particularly labyrinthine. An auction of the carrier’s assets was initially called off and then held, with LATAM Airlines Group and GOL emerging as the winners. But now it seems Brazil’s government has deemed that auction invalid. That could possibly benefit Brazil’s third largest airline, Azul, which refused to participate in the auction process. Azul has also tapped social media to make its case for slots at São Paulo Congonhas, a strategic airport for all airlines in Brazil. But the outcome of the drawn-out process remains anyone’s guess as Brazil’s domestic market becomes more concentrated after Avianca Brazil’s exit. The race for Avianca Brazil's assets has had many twists and turns Avianca Brazil sought creditor protection near the end of 2018 and subsequently its fleet dwindled as some of the airline’s aircraft were repossessed and others were returned to lessors. In May-2019 Brazilian regulator suspended the airline’s operations. The carrier was the fourth largest domestic airline in Brazil behind its competitors GOL, LATAM Airlines Brazil and Azul, and its market share before it sought creditor protection was between 13% and 15%. The wind-down of Avianca Brazil’s assets – mainly coveted airport slots – has been anything but predictable. Earlier in 2019 Azul forged a non-binding agreement to acquire significant assets of Avianca Brazil, paying USD105 million for 30 Airbus 320 jets and 70 airport slots that included slots at São Paulo Congonhas. Congonhas is a key market for business travellers taking the air shuttle to Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont airport. Azul’s service from Congonhas includes Porto Alegre, Curitiba, and Belo Horizonte. Its share of departing frequencies is just a fraction of those of LATAM Airlines Brazil and GOL. As of late Jul-2019, Azul had a total of 87 frequencies from Congonhas. São Paulo Congonhas Airport percentage of weekly departing frequencies by airline: as of mid-Jul-2019 Source: CAPA - Centre for Aviation and OAG. After Azul declared its intentions, Avianca Brazil’s largest creditor, the hedge fund Elliot Management, struck a deal with LATAM and GOL for each company to offer USD70 million for Avianca Brazil’s assets at an auction originally scheduled for early May-2019. Avianca Brazil was divided up into seven segments to be auctioned off. After a legal challenge from Swissport Brazil, a court temporarily suspended the auction. Swissport claimed that the transfer of slots was prohibited. Azul then submitted a new bid for of USD145 million for slots pairs, including the slot pairs for shuttle service from Congonhas to Rio Santos Dumont. Before submitting its latest bid for Avianca Brazil’s slots, Azul’s management declared that “Congonhas would have been an incredible cherry on top of the cake for us to show our product to the market”. Brazil's government appears to have taken over Avianca Brazil's slot allocation In Jul-2019 an auction of Avianca Brazil’s seven units occurred, but Azul refused to participate, “because it did not believe in the legitimacy of the procedure”, according to The Rio Times. Both GOL and LATAM Airlines Brazil secured slots at São Paulo Guarulhos, São Paulo Congonhas and Rio Santos Dumont. After the auction, Azul launched a campaign highlighting the duopoly on the air bridge between Santos Dumont and Congonhas, noting that 95% of slots at Congonhas are held by LATAM and GOL. Data from CAPA and OAG comparing seat shares on the air bridge from mid-Jul-2018 to mid-Jul-2019 show that in 2018 Avianca Brazil’s seat share between Santos Dumont and Congonhas was 18.1%, compared with GOL’s 38.6% seat share and LATAM’s share of 43.3%. In 2019 GOL’s share was 51.8% and LATAM’s share was 48.2%. Brazil’s aviation regulator ANAC has reportedly deemed the auction of Avianca Brazil’s asset as invalid and has resumed the process of distributing Avianca Brazil’s slots. How that process will work is somewhat up in the air. ANAC has held consultations with aviation stakeholders regarding the allocation, but the outcome is far from predictable. But ANAC’s assumption of responsibility for the slot allocation should provide Azul some hope that it can gain additional slots at Congonhas. Brazil's domestic market remains stable after Avianca Brazil's exit As ANAC works to allot Avianca Brazil’s slots at Congonhas and other airports, domestic capacity growth in the country’s domestic market for the 5 months ending May-2019 was just 0.3%, with traffic growth of 2.1%. Domestic passengers grew 2.6% year-on-year, to 37.7 million, and GOL, LATAM Airlines Brazil and Azul all grew their respective passenger shares, with Azul’s share jumping 12.9% year-on-year to 25.7%. GOL remained the market leader, with a 34.4% share of domestic passengers – an increase of 3.9% year-on-year. LATAM Airlines Brazil’s market share increased 1.5%, to 31%. Avianca Brazil’s share fell from 12.9% to 8.3% and in ensuing reports released by ANAC, Brazil’s three largest airlines should report even greater gains in passenger share now that Brazil’s fourth largest airline has officially ceased operations. Brazil's domestic market is becoming more concentrated among three airlines The latest statistics from Brazil’s government show that from Jan-2019 to May-2019 GOL, LATAM Airlines Brazil and Azul had a combined domestic passenger share of 91%. Avianca Brazil was still operating limited services during part of that period, and now that the airline has completely ceased operations, Brazil’s domestic passenger share will become even more concentrated among the country’s three largest airlines. Azul is attempting to inject competition into one of Brazil’s busiest and lucrative domestic routes, but for now its ambitions remain in the hands of the country’s regulators. Want More Analysis Like This?
  2. Sim, ele mesmo. Depois de quebrar a Avianca Brasil e perder o controle da Avianca Holdings, agora o GE quer ter uma participação na Alitalia. Mais uma capítulo da novela italiana... _____________________________________________________ German Efromovich, the ousted chairman of Colombian airline Avianca, is eyeing a comeback via Italy. Efromovich wants to buy a stake in the bankrupt Italian flag-carrier Alitalia SpA, financial daily Il Sole 24 Ore reported, citing a phone interview. "We wrote a letter to Ferrovie dello Stato and the adviser Mediobanca two weeks ago saying we can purchase up to 30% of Alitalia," said Efromovich, who was removed as the chairman of Avianca Holdings SA last month after a loan breach. "We want to join the company’s management and I’d like to be the chief executive officer, at least at the start." A 30% stake in Alitalia would require at least 240 million euros ($273 million), according to the newspaper. Italian railways operator Ferrovie dello Stato Italiane SpA is leading talks for a possible rescue of Alitalia, which is under special administration. Earlier this month, the Italian government extended the deadline for binding bids to July 15 after potential partners such as EasyJet Plc dropped out of the discussions. Efromovich, who has signed a non-disclosure agreement with Alitalia’s advisers, said he has the money needed for the investment and wouldn’t have to borrow. The Bolivian businessman still owns 78% of Avianca’s voting rights and 52% of the carrier’s capital, Il Sole 24 Ore said. In May, United Continental Holdings said that it took legal action in Bogota to dismiss Efromovich from Avianca’s board for defaulting on a $456 million loan. Efromovich purchased Avianca out of bankruptcy in 2004 and turned it around into Latin America’s second-biggest carrier. But last year, he offered his stake in the airline as collateral for a loan from United Continental, imperiling its future. Alitalia also lured interest from Toto Group, a holding that spans from renewable energies to toll-road concessions that is controlled by Italian entrepreneur Carlo Toto. After a failed attempt in 2008 of investing in Alitalia, Toto Group is now reviewing the option of investing in the carrier "relying on its entrepreneurial experience and adequate economic resources," a company’s spokesman wrote Sunday in a letter to daily Il Messaggero. (Adds Toto Group interest in the last paragraph.) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-30/after-losing-avianca-bolivia-s-efromovich-eyes-alitalia-sole
  3. There is no doubt that the shrinking of Avianca Brazil has altered market dynamics in Brazil’s domestic market, and the country’s three largest airlines believe Avianca Brazil’s bankruptcy will create opportunities for the country’s remaining carriers. GOL, LATAM Airlines Brazil and Azul have all been vying for Avianca Brazil’s assets but the government suspended an asset auction, including airport slots, and now the fate of Avianca Brazil is anyone’s guess. While the government drags its feet on rescheduling an auction or some other form of asset dispersal, Avianca Brazil continues to languish with Brazilian operators suspending the airline's operations. As the uncertainty over the fate of Avianca Brazil shows no signs of disappearing in the near future, Brazil’s airlines maintain a reasonably positive view of the domestic market, despite headwinds created by rising fuel prices and currency devaluation. Avianca Brazil's market share falls as its fleet shrinks Brazil’s domestic travel increased by 4.3% year-on-year in 1Q2019 on 3.4% capacity growth. GOL remain the domestic market share leader, with a 36% share. LATAM Airlines Brazil’s share slipped 2.8ppt year-on-year to 30.8%, and Avianca Brazil’s share plummeted 12.2% to 11.0% as its ASKs dropped 7.5%. Brazil domestic traffic share by airline for 1Q2019 Airline Domestic share GOL 36% LATAM Airlines Brazil 30.8% Azul 21% Avianca Brazil 11.9% Source: Brazil ANAC. Avianca Brazil sought creditor protection in Dec-2018, and since that time the airline has had some aircraft repossessed and has returned others to lessors. CAPA’s fleet database shows the airline has six aircraft in its operating fleet as of late May-2019 – down from an operating fleet of close to 50 aircraft. Avianca Brazil fleet summary as of mid-May-2019 Source: CAPA Fleet Database. The capacity reduction is in some ways strengthening an already rational domestic market in Brazil. Recently, executives from Azul remarked that at one point Avianca Brazil had approximately a 13% to 15% market share in Brazil, and “we believe that in all scenarios only about half that capacity will ever put back into the market, which I think is very healthy overall for Brazil”, said chief revenue officer Abhi Shah. LATAM Airlines ups 2019 Brazil domestic capacity as Avianca Brazil shrinks Citing a healthy demand environment and the “declines recently made by one of our competitors”, LATAM Airlines Brazil’s management have said that the airline is boosting its domestic capacity growth in Brazil in 2019 5% to 7%, from original projections of an increase of 2% to 4%. LATAM Airlines Group is shrinking its planned international growth to flat to a 2% increase, a reduction from previous estimates of a 3% to 5% expansion. The company’s overall capacity growth for 2019 is now projected at 3% to 5%, versus previous estimates of an increase of 4% to 6%. LATAM has agreed to forge leasing deals on 10 Airbus A320s that the lessor Aircastle reposed from Avianca Brazil and has not made a final decision about where those aircraft will be deployed. The company believes that opportunities exist in Brazil, as well as Chile, Peru and Colombia. Avianca Brazil's reorganisation has been mired in unpredictability Avianca Brazil’s bankruptcy protection has been complex and somewhat temperamental. Earlier in 2019 Azul forged a non-binding agreement to acquire significant assets of Avianca Brazil, paying USD105 million for 30 Airbus 320 jets and 70 airport slots that included slots at São Paulo Congonhas. Azul does not currently serve Congonhas, which is key market for business travellers taking the air shuttle to Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont airport. See related report: Brazil aviation: positive outlook and Azul is still opportunistic Subsequently, Avianca Brazil’s largest creditor, the hedge fund Elliot Management, struck a deal with each of LATAM and GOL to offer USD70 million for Avianca Brazil’s assets at an auction originally scheduled for early May-2019. The company was divided up in seven segments to be auctioned off. After a legal challenge from Swissport Brazil, a court temporarily suspended the auction. Swissport claimed that the transfer of slots was prohibited. At the same time, Azul has submitted a new bid for of USD145 million for slots pairs, including the slot pairs for shuttle service from Congonhas to Rio. Prior to submitting its latest bid for Avianca Brazil’s slots, Azul’s management declared that “Congonhas would have been an incredible cherry on top of the cake for us to show our product to the market”. There has been no indication of a rescheduling of the auction, but Reuters is reporting that Elliot has opposed Azul’s latest bid, which further muddies the fate of Avianca Brazil. LATAM executives have stated that if there is no action for Avianca Brazil’s airport slots then the process would fall under current rules, which means they would be returned to a pool and distributed to the “current players”. As a result, Azul would lose out on an opportunity at Congonhas. Brazil's domestic market remains on solid ground, driven by sustained demand As the industry waits for the outcome of Avianca Brazil’s bankruptcy, the overall domestic market in Brazil remains solid despite rising fuel expense and currency pressure. LATAM has calculated that the BRL/USD average exchange rate for 1Q2019 was BRL3.77 per USD. Its Brazilian unit revenues denominated in the BRL grew 7.2% year-on-year in 1Q, but dropped by 7.2% measured in the USD. The company has seen fares increase and is forecasting double digit BRL unit revenue growth for its domestic operations in Brazil during 2Q2019. GOL’s year-on-year 2Q2019 unit revenue comps will be slightly inflated due to a trucker’s strike in Brazil during mid-May-2018 that pressured demand. But the airline is experiencing strong bookings and yields in Brazil’s domestic market. Azul has also commented it had experienced solid bookings in Apr-2019 and May-2019, noting a favourable balance between volumes and fares. Brazil's airlines should continue to maintain rational capacity growth Brazil’s domestic airlines have maintained a positive view of the domestic market over the past few months as the country slowly emerges from a recession. For now, it seems that those airlines are achieving a certain level of fare traction in the market as Avianca Brazil has now ceased operations. There is little doubt that at some point Avianca Brazil’s assets will be absorbed by the remaining airlines, and it appears those operators are aiming to maintain some degree of rational capacity growth in Brazil. https://centreforaviation.com/analysis/reports/brazilian-aviation-avianca-brazils-decline-assets-for-grabs-474772
  4. http://www.aviacionnews.com/blog/2019/05/pese-a-los-malos-pronosticos-avianca-argentina-deposita-su-esperanza-en-la-subasta-de-activos-de-avianca-brasil/ Por SGR - 05/02/2019 La noticia, publicada esta semana por un diario económico de Argentina, generó preocupación tanto en despachos oficiales como entre los empleados que aún resisten desde la empresa. La nota afirmaba categóricamente que Avianca Argentina habría de quebrar en 20 días. En la empresa no están de acuerdo con este diagnóstico, aunque reconocen que la empresa transita una etapa que bien podría resumirse en la palabra “aguantar” -vaya uno a saber hasta cuando- y en “perder la menor cantidad posible de plata”, que obviamente alguien pone para mantenerla con vida. Hoy Avianca Argentina solo dispone de dos ATR para atender el par de destinos que aún mantiene en pie: Santa Fe y Mar del Plata. Programación que con un ATR alcanza. Más que los 20 días que le auguran de vida, la expectativa de quienes aún no pierden las esperanzas están puestas en el 7 mayo, cuando el juez brasileño que lleva la convocatoria de Avianca Brasil abra los sobres con las ofertas por las siete “Unidades Productivas Aisladas” (slots, aviones, personal, programa de fidelidad, etc.) en que se han dividido los activos de la compañía. Recién entonces se sabrá a que quedó reducida la hasta ahora 4º aerolínea brasileña y a cuánto ascienden los fondos recaudados en la subasta que irán a la empresa residual encargada de responder por los pasivos. Si bien legalmente se puede afirmar que Avianca Holding, Avianca Brasil y Avian Líneas Aéreas (Avianca Argentina) son sociedades independientes, las tres están atravesadas por un único apellido: Efromovich (Synergy Group). Más en el caso de Avianca Argentina que nació “colgada” de Avianca Brasil, que además es su garante. La devaluación de mediados del 2018 y la anulación ante de despegar del vuelos Buenos Aires-San Pablo fueron dos golpe duros para la filial argentina. Lo cierto es que hoy todas las empresas están en dificultades: Avianca Holding perdió estos días, sorpresivamente, a su presidente Hernan Rincón, cuyos motivos expuestos en la renuncia nadie cree. Su Germán Efromovich, presidente de la Junta Directiva y principal accionista, tiene además una deuda con United Airlines por U$S 450 millones, préstamo garantizado con acciones de la empresa colombiana. La compañía brasileña, por su parte, en convocatoria de acreedores y la argentina, con pedido de “proceso preventivo de crisis”, y a la espera de un milagro. Recién el 7 de mayo se sabrá si los milagros existen.
  5. Desde a última semana, empresa vem sendo alvo de ações pedindo a retomada de aeronaves arrendadas por falta de pagamento Renée Pereira e Cynthia Decloedt, O Estado de S.Paulo 11 Dezembro 2018 | 15h40 A Avianca Brasil entrou nesta segunda-feira, 10, às 15h23 com pedido de recuperação judicial, na 1ª Vara Empresarial de São Paulo, apurou o Estado. O pedido, de R$ 50 milhões, está em segredo de Justiça. A empresa ainda não respondeu ao pedido de entrevista. Desde a semana passada, a empresa vem sendo alvo de ações pedindo a retomada de aeronaves arrendadas por falta de pagamento. Após se expandir rapidamente, a Avianca no Brasil enfrenta dificuldades para pagar fornecedores, cumprir obrigações com concessionárias de aeroportos e pode ter de devolver aviões. O Estado apurou que a dívida com todos os aeroportos brasileiros, públicos e privados, chega a quase R$ 100 milhões – só com o de Guarulhos são R$ 25 milhões. Nos últimos dias, no entanto, a companhia conseguiu pagar parte das dívidas. Com pagamentos atrasados junto a fornecedores e obrigações com concessionárias de aeroportos, a companhia aérea está sob risco de ter de devolver 11 aviões, equivalentes a 18% de sua frota, à Constitution Aircraft. A companhia captou recentemente R$ 130,7 milhões com os bancos ABC, Daycoval, Safra e Fibra, com vencimentos entre 2018 e 2021, elevando para R$ 306 milhões o endividamento da companhia ao final do terceiro trimestre. No fim de 2017, estava em 194 milhões. https://economia.estadao.com.br/noticias/negocios,avianca-entra-com-pedido-de-recuperacao-judicial,70002641959
  6. March 4, 2019 Gol Linhas Aéreas CFO Richard Lark, speaking on the 4Q2018 financial results call, commented (01-Mar-2019) on Avianca Brazil‘s chapter 11 filling and its effects on FFP Amigo, stating: “That situation highlighted the shared credit risk between airlines and their affiliated FFPs and that will make it more difficult for programmes to finance themselves on a stand alone basis”. https://blueswandaily.com/gol-cfo-avianca-brazils-situation-highlighted-the-shared-credit-risk-between-airlines-and-ffp/
  7. julho 30, 2018 Desde a manhã desta segunda-feira (30), a Avianca está com operação reduzida no Aeroporto Internacional do Recife/Guararapes – Gilberto Freyre, na Zona Sul da capital pernambucana. A companhia aérea está suspendendo, por prazo indeterminado, voos para os aeroportos do Rio de Janeiro e Bogotá, na Colômbia, um dos trajetos internacionais operados pela empresa a partir do Recife. Além disso, também haverá redução nas partidas e chegadas para o Aeroporto de Guarulhos, em São Paulo. Segundo informação obtida junto à companhia, os passageiros que esperavam embarcar nos voos para esses destinos serão reembolsados ou reacomodados em empresas congêneres, de acordo com o estipulado pela Resolução 400 da Agência Nacional de Aviação Civil (Anac). Através de nota à imprensa, a Avianca informou que a decisão foi baseada em critérios técnicos e fatores econômicos externos, após estudos de viabilidade dessas rotas realizados por departamentos especializados da companhia. CONFIRA A NOTA DA AVIANCA NA ÍNTEGRA A Avianca Brasil tem um forte compromisso com o mercado pernambucano e mantém, a partir de Recife, quatro voos diários para São Paulo, três para Salvador, um para Brasília e dois para Petrolina. Essas frequências, assim como as novas operações em Vitória (ES) e Belém (PA), estão em linha com o plano de consolidação das operações domésticas da companhia, que tem como objetivo oferecer a máxima conectividade aos viajantes dos quatro cantos do país, que seguem para os 27 destinos nacionais e internacionais onde a Avianca Brasil opera, além de facilitar as conexões para mais de 1,3 mil aeroportos do mundo, por meio das companhias membros da Star Alliance. A partir do dia 6 de agosto, visando uma estratégia de negócio sustentável, a Avianca Brasil suspenderá os voos que ligam o Aeroporto Internacional de Recife ao Rio de Janeiro e a Bogotá, bem como uma frequência para o Aeroporto Internacional de Guarulhos, em São Paulo. A decisão foi baseada em critérios técnicos e fatores econômicos externos, após estudos de viabilidade dessas rotas realizados por departamentos especializados da companhia. Todos os passageiros impactados pelos cancelamentos programados foram avisados com antecedência e já realizaram as remarcações de seus voos. A Avianca Brasil reitera que seguirá acompanhando a evolução desse cenário de perto e que estuda constantemente formas melhorar ainda mais experiência de seus passageiros. https://www.op9.com.br/pe/noticias/avianca-suspende-voos-do-recife-para-bogota-e-sao-paulo/ Parece fake news mas já conferi no site da O6, último REC-BOG sendo realizado hoje. https://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/o6848 GRU-REC reduz de 5 pra 4 voos por dia.
  8. November 19, 2018 Avianca Holdings stated (14-Nov-2018) it continues to experience pressure from increased fuel costs as well as macroeconomic challenges in certain regions and is “addressing these challenges through its strategic decision related to the current aircraft order back log, its corporate structure and future CAPEX needs in order to establish a strong foundation to deliver future growth and long term margin expansion”. Avianca Holdings CEO Hernan Rincon stated: “We are renegotiating our fleet backlog to significantly reduce the pace at which we incorporate new aircraft into our fleet… we aim to potentially defer up to 50 narrowbody aircraft while reassessing the status of an additional 50 aircraft”. He added that all projects and contracts with strategic partners and lessors are under review to drive cost efficiencies with minimal near term capital expenditure. The carrier is “focused” on optimising its network by cancelling less profitable routes and redeploying freed capacity. https://blueswandaily.com/avianca-renegotiates-fleet-backlog-delivery-with-potential-to-defer-50-narrowbodies/
  9. Each day this year The Blue Swan Daily uses the extensive insights available to CAPA – Centre for Aviation members to deliver a data snapshot on the world’s largest airlines and airports. Today, we feature Avianca Brazil (IATA: O6; ICAO: ONE), formerly known as Ocean Air, it represented Brazilian conglomerate the Synergy Group’s first foray into the aviation industry. ROUTE MAP (w/c 27-Aug-2018) DESTINATIONS (w/c 27-Aug-2018) CAPACITY SPLIT BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS (w/c 27-Aug-2018) LARGEST NETWORK POINT BY CAPACITY (w/c 27-Aug-2018) BUSIEST DOMESTIC MARKETS BY CAPACITY (w/c 27-Aug-2018) INTERNATIONAL MARKET CAPACITY BREAKDOWN BY COUNTRY (w/c 27-Aug-2018) BUSIEST INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BY CAPACITY (w/c 27-Aug-2018) AVERAGE FLIGHT LENGTH (w/c 27-Aug-2018) FLEET LISTING (w/c 27-Aug-2018) AVERAGE FLEET AGE (w/c 27-Aug-2018) ANNUAL CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT (2012 – 2018*) ANNUAL TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT (2009 – 2018YTD) MONTHLY TRAFFIC TRENDS AND SEASONALITY https://blueswandaily.com/airline-insight-avianca-brazil/
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